Livestock Markets Firm to Start the Week

Cattle behind barn fence by dusanpetkovic via Istock

Live Cattle (June)

June live cattle futures were able to rally in yesterday’s trade, taking prices right near our pivot pocket from 199.60-199.975. Outside market volatility and daily trading ranges have subsided to start the week which may continue to help calm the waters in other commodities such as cattle. If the Bulls can keep the momentum going and clear our pivot pocket, we could see the market run towards the gap from April 4th, which comes in closer to 204.

Resistance: 203.25-204.20**, 206.92-207.30**
Pivot: 199.60-199.975
Support: 195.65-196.07***, 192.725-193.419***, 189.175-190.00****

Daily Cattle and Beef Summary

Cutout values were firm on Monday afternoon with choice cuts 1.41 higher to 335.63 and select cuts 1.89 higher to 315.85. The 5-area average price for live steers was reported at 207.70. Slaughter was reported at 112k head.

The CME feeder Cattle Index is at 287.16 with the NBW Real-Time Index showing 285.77 as of this morning.

Seasonal Tendency Update
(updated 4.14.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for June futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).

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Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.
 

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